By Pritish Ganguly

September 12, 2026 • 4:01 AM EDT

Updated 1 hours ago

Ohtani, Pages, and More Land on Dodgers’ IL as September 12 Lines Miss the Real Story

Shohei Ohtani was placed on the 15-day injured list on September 11, leaving the Los Angeles Dodgers drastically shorthanded ahead of tonight’s matchup at Dodger Stadium. Andy Pages, Dalton Rushing, and several key pitchers are out too, gutting the core of LA’s lineup and depth chart.

The live data signals a major recalibration: Ohtani’s missing bat (1.000+ OPS, 38-homer pace) subtracts nearly a run from the Dodgers’ projected team total. Andy Pages, the starting center fielder and cleanup hitter, is sidelined with a hand injury. The rotation and bullpen are missing seven names combined, starters like Gavin Stone and Erik Lauer, relievers, and backup bats all sitting. Market lines continue to price the Dodgers as if the A-list remains intact, but the roster on the field is nowhere close. The most recent 8-2 surge is built on wins that came before the injury spike.

The lines don’t reflect this new version of the Dodgers. Openers are showing expected totals and odds that treat Ohtani, Pages, and Dalton Rushing as available, with implied team totals still high at 4.7-5.0. That’s folly. Josue De Paula is a talent, but he’s a rookie thrust into a playoff chase and projected DH or outfield spot. That’s not a like-for-like replacement for an MVP-level bat. The ripple effect is huge: less lineup protection for Freddie Freeman (himself nursing a knee), fewer high-leverage matchups managed by the bullpen, and a surge of pressure on the club’s remaining regulars.

Why the Dodgers Moneyline and Over Are Dangerous Bets Right Now

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Market action hasn’t caught up yet. Bettors see the Dodgers’ record, a strong division leader, 8-2 in their last ten, and assume continuity. But those wins came before Ohtani and Pages went down. The true roster for tonight includes multiple prospects and role players who have not faced this kind of pressure week after week. Team chemistry is out of rhythm. The bullpen is stretched, asking for three-to-four innings of coverage from untested arms each night.

That’s not a profile that sustains the same offense or lock-down late innings. Fade the Dodgers on the moneyline for the short term. Los Angeles is a clear step down offensively and defensively, and the books are leaving the lines static as if September 10 and September 12 Dodgers are the same team. They are not, especially not against a motivated opponent playing at near full strength. The over on team totals and run lines is simply mispriced given the new offensive baseline. Avoid prop overs for Josue De Paula or Michael Busch, especially until they prove they can deliver against full-strength MLB pitching. Freddie Freeman, the lone star still standing, is day-to-day with a knee knock and might sit or be limited.

• Shohei Ohtani was moved to the IL on September 11: Dodgers’ projected run production drops sharply, but team totals have not adjusted.
• Andy Pages (CF/cleanup) also on IL: downgrades outfield defense and lineup depth, creating more run-prevention risk and fewer RBI situations.
• Freddie Freeman is day-to-day with a knee issue: his absence or limited role would further cripple LA’s offense.
• Seven arms from rotation and bullpen are on the IL: Dodgers may need three-plus innings from untested relievers nightly, raising under risk but also live-bet opportunities for fading late leads.
• Josue De Paula and rookies promoted to fill gaps: replacement-level bats facing MLB arms, avoid overs on hits, HRs, RBIs until established.

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• Dodgers’ recent 8-2 stretch: all before the latest main roster injuries, misleading as a forward-looking indicator.

The Numbers Say Play the Under: The Line Will Move, Get Ahead of It

Tonight’s lines still hover at a team total that assumes Ohtani, Pages, and a healthy Freeman are active. The reality is much grimmer: with a rookie DH, a shallow bench, and a rotation that’s patchwork at best, the Dodgers will struggle to reach season-average run totals. The edge is clear for opportunistic bettors. If you’re playing Dodgers-based props or sides tonight, you’re betting on a team that just lost nearly half its top six position players and several key pitchers. The sportsbook hasn’t priced this in yet.

The way I see it: back the opponent on the moneyline, target the under on the game total, and skip Dodgers player props for hits and runs, especially overs on rookies and fill-ins. The market will catch up in a day or two, but right now, these numbers are stale. I’m on the fade for all Dodgers moneyline and run line bets until books give this injury log the respect it deserves. The updated lines and my full track record are always live on the Los Angeles Dodgers picks and season record.

“Our group is tough, but you take that many bats and arms out, it changes who we are overnight.”Dave Roberts, Dodgers manager

This article was produced with AI assistance by Pritish Ganguly, with editorial standards and betting methodology overseen by Richard Gale (senior gambling industry executive, ThePicks founder), and reviewed by the ThePicks editorial team. All statistics sourced from live BDL API data and verified source material. All betting opinions are those of ThePicks analysts.

https://sports.yahoo.com/articles/dodgers-2026-injured-list-tracker-193821483.html

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