Marketa Vondrousova, the reigning Wimbledon champion, will face Anastasia Potapova at the 2024 WTA Stuttgart tennis tournament in an upcoming match. This will be a second-round match in the draw, which is also known as the 2024 Porsche Tennis Grand Prix. Vondrousova is priced at -200 (bet365) to win this match but Potapova has had some decent results of late. My Vondrousova vs Potapova prediction is that the latter player will win this match.
Order of Play: Right-click/Open in the New Tab to check match times: subject to change
Marketa Vondrousova vs Anastasia Potapova Head-to-Head Series
The Vondrousova vs Potapova h2h is 3-1 in favor of the former player. Their series dates back to the 2019 season and that's also the season when they played their only clay-court match. Vondrousova won their match at the French Open that season.
They have yet to face one another in 2024 but they did split meetings in 2023. Vondrousova won a match in Cincinnati while Potapova won a match in Linz. For rankings, this is the World No. 9 in Vondrosouva against the World No. 36.
The Draw: Right-click/Open the link in a new tab for the draw for the 2024 Porsche Tennis Grand Prix
Marketa Vondrousova's Recent Matches and Results
Vondrosouva opened her Stuttgart draw with a straight-sets victory over Donna Vekic 6-4, 6-3. One thing that stands out in the match is that Vondrousova had six double faults. That would be a high total even for a fairly long match. She looks like a shaky player to be backing right now.
Before Tuesday's match, we had not seen Vondrousova since Indian Wells. She pulled out of that tournament with the draw sheet noting a personal reason.
Vondrousova is just the 33rd-best player so far this season on year-to-date rankings. That is a far cry below her Top Ten ranking, which reflects the last 52 weeks. This is a player whose high ranking is largely associated with one tournament. More than half of her 3895 ranking points come from winning Wimbledon last season.
She did not enter very many clay-court events in 2023. But she did get seven match wins in Madrid, Rome, and the French Open -- including two wins in a qualifying draw.
Anastasia Potapova's Recent Matches and Results
Anastasia Potapova had a tough match in the opening round but won a three-set result as a small underdog. She won a few matches in Indian Wells last month, including a win over Jasmine Paolini. Overall, Potapova has not looked bad in her post-Australian Open schedule. She is the No. 25 player on year-to-date rankings.
Last season on clay, she did very well in the Stuttgart draw. She beat Coco Gauff and Caroline Garcia in the 2023 event. At the time of the matches, these players were 6th and 5th respectively on tour. Her momentum did not carry over into other clay-court events but she still won four matches combined in Madrid, Rome, and Roland Garros.
Vondrousova vs Potapova Prediction: Potapova to win
Bettors cannot be expecting Potapova to be a pushover here. I would say that she is the only reasonable moneyline pick. At +162 (bet365), her value looks a lot better than slumping Vondrousova at -200. My recommendation is to take Potapova in this match. I would consider her the favorite and feel like the betting odds are just wrong for this contest.
Potapova vs Vondrousova prediction: Draw at the 2024 Porsche Tennis Grand Prix
The winner of this match will face the winner of Aryna Sabalenka and Paula Badosa. At the time of writing, Sabalenka was leading that match.
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