There will be a very attractive semifinal at the 2024 Indian Wells tennis tournament this weekend. On Saturday, World No. 3 Jannik Sinner will face World No. 2 Carlos Alcaraz at the 2024 BNP Paribas Open. The match will determine who will be No. 2 in the rankings on Monday. This semifinal match in the Indian Wells draw, which is a part of the Masters Series on the ATP Tour, is one where Sinner is priced at -150 on the moneyline (bet365). My Sinner vs Alcaraz prediction is that the former player will win the match.
Schedule of Play: Right-click/Open in the New Tab to check match times: subject to change
Jannik Sinner vs Carlos Alcaraz Head-to-Head Series
These two players have met quite a few times already in their young careers. Many are talking about the upcoming years on the men's tour as being the "Sinner vs Alcaraz era." One of them, you have to think, will supplant Novak Djokovic as the World No. 1, perhaps even in the months ahead. Neither Sinner nor Alcaraz could do that at Indian Wells, however, a title would still bank some points for the winner, points that they could build with.
Thus far, they have faced one another eight times in the past. The Sinner vs Alcaraz h2h is tied at 4-4, using bet365's stats. The sets are also tied at 12-12. Betting stats will include results in challengers while the ATP's head-to-heads will not.
These two players met three times last season. Alcaraz beat Sinner in the 2023 Indian Wells tennis draw. However, Sinner won in Miami and Beijing.
The Draw: Right-click/Open the link in a new tab for the draw for the 2024 BNP Paribas Open
Jannik Sinner's Recent Matches and Results
Sinner has been clinical in getting to the semifinals. He has not dropped a set all tournament. In fact, he has lost only four sets this season. Furthermore, he is undefeated in his matches, now 16-0 to start the 2024 campaign. In the last round, he had no trouble with Jiri Lehecka, posting a 6-3, 6-3 victory. Sinner is in the hunt for his third title of the season already, having won Rotterdam and the 2024 Australian Open already.
Carlos Alcaraz's Recent Matches and Results
Meanwhile, Alcaraz is in the hunt for his first title since Wimbledon. So far in Indian Wells this month, he has gone 8-1 on sets played. In the last round, he made surprisingly light work of Alexander Zverev 6-3, 6-1. Alcaraz has otherwise been a disappointment so far this season with subpar results from Rio, Buenos Aires, and Melbourne Park.
Sinner vs Alcaraz Prediction: Sinner the winner
My recommendation is going to be to take Sinner at -150 (bet365). Alcaraz is clearly playing better now than he has for a little while. However, the Spaniard has lost a fair number of matches late in tournaments. With no titles since Wimbledon 2023 and no appearances in finals since Cincinnati, Sinner is a much more confident bet in this match.
Alcaraz vs Sinner prediction: Draw at the 2024 BNP Paribas Open
The winner will probably face Daniil Medvedev in the final. Sinner has done well against the Russian in recent finals, winning at Melbourne Park, Beijing, and Vienna. However, Medvedev still has to best Tommy Paul, America's last hope in the men's draw. Paul has been in better form lately than what we saw in late 2023 or at the Australian Open earlier this season.
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