Roberto Bautista Agut will face Hubert Hurkacz at the 2023 ATP Paris tennis event this week. Hurkacz will be playing in his seventh match since October 24th. The Polish star was in the Basel final over the weekend and has not had much rest lately. This upcoming match will be a second-round match in the 2023 Rolex Paris Masters, with a spot in the round of sixteen up for grabs. It should have a little bit of upset potential since Hurkacz will have to be fatiguing soon. My Bautista Agut vs Hurkacz prediction is that the former's game handicap of +2.5 will factor into a winning bet for handicappers.
Schedule of Play: Right-click/Open in the New Tab to check match times: subject to change
Roberto Bautista Agut vs Hubert Hurkacz Head-to-Head Series
Roberto Bautista Agut holds a 3-1 lead on head-to-heads. However, Hurkacz won their most recent match. They played in Rotterdam earlier this season, which is an indoor hard-court venue just like the Paris Masters. The line score is an interesting one to look at: 75 67 76. The two players played 38 games in the match, one below the maximum for a best-of-three-set contest.
In fact, in their entire head-to-head history, these two players have only played one match that did not go three sets. Also, they have played in eight sets that went to at least 12 games. If they play long sets on Wednesday, then Hurkacz should be the one feeling sluggish due to a lack of days off lately.
Bautista Agut has been quiet lately. The last time we really heard much out of his camp was back in Halle during the grass-court season. But he won his first-round match in the Paris Masters in straight sets. Bettors will need to assume that we are going to see an above-average version of RBA in the next round. With Hurkacz possibly slowing down due to too many matches in a short time period, bettors should be angling on the Spaniard in this match.
The Draw: Right-click/Open in the New Tab for the draw for the 2023 Rolex Paris Masters
Bautista Agut vs Hurkacz Prediction: +2.5 Games for RBA
Bautista Agut at +200 on the moneyline is worth it (bet365). But handicappers should be happy with +2.5 games for a game handicap at EVEN odds (+100). Also, expect a tiring Hurkacz to throw in some double faults. Take 2+ double faults at -188, noting that he had four in the last match (he hardly ever has that many). The double faults suggest that he is tired. It implies that he's going for a lot on his second serve to keep the points short, possibly out of necessity. Bautista Agut should be into this match.
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