Jets vs Bills Betting Prop (Sep 11): Alternative Spread

Jets vs Bills prediction for their NFL game on Monday, September 11th, 2023. The spread is in favor of Buffalo at -2.5.


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The New York Jets, in a game that will debut starting QB Aaron Rodgers, will face the Buffalo Bills on Monday, September 11th, 2023. This promises to be a captivating game for NFL fans. It is the stand-alone nationally televised game on Monday night, one that features two great quarterbacks. Game time is at 8:15 PM ET as Josh Allen and the Buffalo Bills travel to face the New York Jets. My Jets vs Bills prediction is that the Bills win this game fairly comfortably.

New York vs Buffalo Prediction: Latest NFL News

The team teams updated their injury report for this game on Saturday. This was the final injury report ahead of the game. One player that has not been in tip-top shape this week is running back Breece Hall. He was limited in practice on both Thursday and Friday for the New York Jets. However, he was upgraded to a full participant in Saturday's practice.

Jets vs Bills Prediction: Betting Tips

With these Week 1 games, there is always the potential for a major surprise. Following Sunday's results, who would have thought that Joe Burrow would have played as poorly as he did? Also, veteran Ryan Tannehill had a terrible game for the Tennessee Titans. Will either Aaron Rodgers or Josh Allen surprise for the worse in the same way?

Buffalo is certainly backable in their own right (bet365). Their injury report is now clean following Saturday's update. Micah Hyde was on the report on Thursday as limited in practice. The team improved his status to a full participant on Friday. Fantasy enthusiasts and Buffalo supporters alike should be expecting the safety to start.

When a team like Buffalo is in full health in a home game, then they cannot be ignored. Buffalo certainly has been the better-run franchise in recent seasons, if not recent decades. Moneyline or spread bets are both on the table for this team. But, in this article, my recommendation is to look at a betting prop instead.

The standard spread for this game is -2.5 with bet365. But the "50/50" point for the spread could be placed at -6.5 for a true spread. That's the point where it starts to get hard to feel whether Buffalo will cover or not.

Looking at the odds on adjusted or alternative spreads, Buffalo is out at +180 to cover -6.5. In my view, that's a lot of extra return value away from EVEN odds. My recommendation for those looking for a betting prop for Monday night football is to go with the adjusted spread in this game instead of the standard one.

Further reading: 2023 NFL Week 1 BETTING TIPS - Sunday's games!