The Puebla team, having the worst campaign in this phase of the LIGA MX, faces the Tigres team, considered one of the favorites to reach the final of the competition. The teams will face each other on Friday night, March 30 at 9:00 pm (ET), marking the opening of the 13th round of matches this weekend. Here on this page, we will provide betting tips based on odds that we believe hold value in the sports betting market.
Puebla
Puebla is likely to bid farewell to its playoff chances; the team may not even compete in the Play-In stage of this Clausura. With the worst performance so far in the Mexican league, Puebla sits at the bottom of the table, 18th with 5 points from 12 matches. Puebla is 11 points behind the first team in line for the Play-In, Chivas Guadalajara, which has 16 points.
Puebla's record is disappointing, which is disheartening for its fans. The club's management may already be contemplating plans for the next season. Puebla's last victory was on February 3 against Mazatlán, with a score of 3-2, a team of lower level in the Mexican soccer league this season. Puebla's overall record in the Clausura is 1 win, 2 draws, and 9 losses, with a current winless streak of 7 games.
In recent statistics, Puebla as the home team has averaged 1.33 goals scored per game, while conceding an average of 2 goals per game in defense. With a weak defensive system, Puebla has conceded a total of 31 goals while scoring only 12 goals, entering this match against Tigres with the title of the worst defense in the league.
Recent Matches for Puebla
- Puebla 0-2 Querétaro
- Atlético San Luis 4-0 Puebla
- Puebla 2-2 Atlas
- León 2-1 Puebla
- Juárez 4-3 Puebla
Super Bowl LIX: 49ers Open as Favorites
Tigres
Tigres comes into this game on the road, with a crucial CONCACAF Champions Cup match against Columbus Crew looming next Tuesday, as they travel to the USA for the first leg of the quarterfinals. Perhaps this is why Tigres are moderate favorites to win Friday's match against Puebla. Tigres' odds are -125 (bet365), reflecting some uncertainty in the market about whether Tigres will field their full squad for this Clausura round or save some players for the Tuesday trip. Despite this, Tigres are much stronger favorites than the odds indicate in the sports betting market.
Tigres are expected to be in the playoffs; currently, they occupy 6th place with 21 points, and with a win and a slip-up by their rivals, they could finish in 3rd place, overtaking Pachuca, Cruz Azul, and Toluca. Theoretically, an easy game for Tigres. In their last match in the LIGA MX on the 16th of this month, they beat Mazatlán 5-1, with standout performances from Marcelo Flores who scored two goals for the team.
Tigres' Clausura campaign includes 6 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses. The away factor should not weigh heavily against Tigres either; under head coach Robert Siboldi, they have shown a good performance in away matches, ranking as the third-best team in away games with a record of 3 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses.
Another factor favoring Tigres is their offensive average away from home, with recent averages of 1.39 goals scored per game and 1.11 goals conceded per game. These recent statistics are in their favor, especially against the worst defense in the league. Overall, Tigres UANL has scored 19 goals and conceded 12 goals.
Recent Matches for Tigres UANL
- Toluca 2-1 Tigres
- Orlando 0-0 Tigres
- América 2-0 Tigres
- Tigres 4-2 Orlando
- Tigres 5-1 Mazatlán
Puebla vs Tigres: Betting Tips
Analyzing the odds, Puebla is the underdog with odds priced at +310 to win the match (bet365). On the other hand, the visitors Tigres have odds of -125 at the moment. These odds are valuable and should be around -167 for fair odds.
Tigres need to secure their position in the Clausura and ensure their qualification for the next phase of the league, given they have another tough championship ahead in the coming months. My betting recommendation is to bet on Tigres moneyline odds -125 at the bet365 sportsbook.
- Prediction: Tigres moneyline odds -125
Follow us on X (Formerly Twitter): ThePicks
