By Pritish Ganguly

September 1, 2026 • 5:02 PM EDT

Updated 12 days ago

The Mets’ September Call-Ups Just Gave Bettors a New Angle

On September 1, 2026, at Citi Field, the New York Mets announced the recall of outfielder Nick Morabito and right-handed reliever Dylan Ross from Triple-A Syracuse as part of the September roster expansion.

The numbers spell trouble for the bullpen. Dylan Ross put up a 6.94 ERA in Triple-A with high walk and home run rates, exactly what bettors look to exploit in live spots. Nick Morabito brings some speed, but his bat hasn’t played: he went hitless in his previous MLB stint and still hasn’t posted a breakout at the plate in the minors.

The bottom line for the betting markets is simple: the Mets bullpen is depleted and unreliable. Williams and Perez are on the injured list, Hagenman just returned off his own IL stint, and now unproven arms are being thrown into high-leverage situations. Over the last 10 games, the Mets are 4-6 with a brutal -52 run differential. This isn’t a blip, it’s a sustained weakness showing up in late-game collapses and blown leads.

Sharp bettors notice two things right away. First: any time Ross or another Triple-A arm enters with a lead or in a tiebreak, you have a live opportunity to fade the Mets moneyline or grab the over on the in-game total. Second: with Ross’s control issues and the current state of the bullpen, oddsmakers are likely to price up the game total, especially if the starting pitcher isn’t elite. There’s very little evidence to counter that move.

The Mets Bullpen Is Teetering and the Market Might Not See It Yet

Related: Stock shines as Mets edge Rays, Vientos homers in return

Morabito’s recall brings minimal upside right now. He’s fast but hasn’t shown he can get on-base at this level. Ross’s minor league numbers have been a problem all season: high walk rate, too many home runs, and an ERA north of 6.90. That’s not just a talent gap, it’s a late-inning risk the market might not have fully accounted for. With Williams and Perez still out, and a recent 4-6 stretch leaving the team’s margins thin, you have to question Mets edges in close games, especially against playoff-caliber opponents or even league-average lineups.

Look for the over in games where Mets relievers are projected for more than 12 outs, and don’t hesitate to fade the Mets in live spots once the bullpen phone rings. This isn’t the scenario you want if you’re backing a tight Mets -1.5 run line.

• Nick Morabito recalled: zero hits in his limited MLB debut, below-average AAA bat, unlikely to boost offense right away.
• Dylan Ross recalled: 6.94 ERA at Triple-A, high walk and HR rates, makes the bullpen much shakier late.
• Williams and Perez remain injured: Mets’ late-inning relief depth is severely compromised, with Hagenman only recently active.
• Mets went 4-6 in last 10 with a -52 run differential: indicates late-game unraveling isn’t isolated.
• Market may still price the Mets with early-season assumptions: opens a window for in-game and total bettors as new bullpen arms are tested under pressure.

This Mets Roster Isn’t Built to Protect Leads Over the Next 10 Games

The Mets have made depth moves, but none that meaningfully improve late-game outlook. Ross is exactly the type of bullpen pitcher sharp bettors fade: little MLB experience, rough minor league control, and forced into spots by roster attrition. Morabito is a speed option at best, not a game-changing bat. Fade the Mets late, look over on totals, and keep your eye on in-game bullpen usage every single outing.

My read on the market: expect sharper moves toward fading the Mets closer to first pitch, especially when lineups confirm Ross is among the first bullpen options. That’s when your edge is highest.

“We believe these guys can help fill innings and provide energy.”Carlos Mendoza, New York Mets manager

This article was produced with AI assistance by Pritish Ganguly, with editorial standards and betting methodology overseen by Richard Gale (senior gambling industry executive, ThePicks founder), and reviewed by the ThePicks editorial team. All statistics sourced from live BDL API data and verified source material. All betting opinions are those of ThePicks analysts.

Back the Mets fade, either live or pregame moneyline/run line, and circle the game total over if their bullpen is lined up for high-leverage work. Moderately confident call until the injuries clear and someone from the call-ups proves they belong. The updated Mets betting lines and our season record are on the New York Mets picks and season record.

https://sports.yahoo.com/articles/mets-recall-nick-morabito-dylan-203304738.html

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