The Pick: UNDER 38.5 at odds of -130 (bet365)
The Toronto Raptors, who lost to the Boston Celtics on Saturday, continue to struggle this season. They are currently 20-27, a full seven games below .500 heading into Sunday where they will face the New York Knicks.
We looked at the Toronto Raptors about a week ago and they had a win total of 39.5 with bet365 sportsbook. As of January 22nd, 2023, the Toronto Raptors have a win total that has been lowered in the last week to 38.5 (bet365). Our recommendation is to stay with the UNDER for those looking to bet on Toronto’s successes or failures this season (-130).
Toronto Raptors win-total (bet365): 38.5 (simplified perspective)
- Current winning rate: 42.55%
- The winning rate needed for OVER 38.5: 47.56%
- Difference: -5.01%
- Simplified conclusion: the Raptors are behind their win-total projection
The chart above shows that the Raptors remain off of the pace that they need to maintain if they are to beat their win total this season. This is a team that appears to be heading toward a win total somewhere between 34 to 36 games this season — if you go by their overall winning rate.
However, the Raptors have played far below their overall standard for nearly two months now. Take a look at the chart below which focuses on more recent form out of Toronto.
Toronto Raptors: Recent Form Alert
- Formerly: 11 – 9 on November 29th, 2022
- Currently: 20 – 27 (overall)
- Recent form: 9 – 18 since November 29th, 2022
- Recent winning rate: 33.33%
- Toronto Raptors’ recent form: -14.23% compared to what they need
Toronto has sunk in the standings over the last several weeks. Heading into Sunday, January 22nd, they are down in 12th place.
A big problem with Toronto is a lack of depth. In the loss to Boston, Toronto relied on their starters for huge minutes — something they often do. It’s not surprising that Toronto has had a season filled with injuries.
To get to 39 wins this season, Toronto would need at least 19 wins in their last 35 games. This is a team that has posted a 33.33% winning percentage since November 29th, 2023. We can all agree that winning about 54% of their remaining games would be quite the turnaround.
We’re sticking with the UNDER on Toronto as they seem to be heading toward a 32-34 win season. That could be even lower if they get an inkling to offload salary as the trade deadline approaches. Why wouldn’t they do that? They’ve already won an NBA title and could go into a rebuild knowing that they have a banner in their rafters for their current era.
Toronto Raptors betting recommendation
- Toronto UNDER 38.5 wins this season at -130 (10/13) (bet365)
- Our recent NBA Power Rankings