San Antonio Spurs win-total betting: Feb. 14/23

The Pick: UNDER 20.5 at odds of -110 (bet365)

The San Antonio Spurs have a 13-game losing streak active in the NBA. However, they have been in a near freefall in the standings for a lot longer than that. As of February 14th, the San Antonio Spurs have a win total of 20.5 (bet365) and it is hard to picture them clearing that this season. Accordingly, our recommendation for bettors is to take the UNDER when it comes to betting on San Antonio’s win total at this point in the season.

San Antonio Spurs win-total (bet365): 20.5 (simplified perspective)

• Current winning rate: 24.14%
• The winning rate needed for OVER 20.5: 25.61%
• Difference: -1.47%
• Simplified conclusion: the Spurs are behind their win-total projection

The bullet points above show that San Antonio is a little off of the pace that they need to maintain to beat their win total. That’s a chart for the big picture — the team’s overall record this season. While being just a little off of the pace might not be too convincing for betting the UNDER for their win total, the bullet points below provide some additional food for thought.

San Antonio Spurs: Recent Form Alert

• Formerly: 13 – 26 on January 6th, 2023
• Currently: 14 – 44 (overall)
• Recent form: 1 – 18 since January 6th, 2023
• Recent winning rate: 5.26%
• San Antonio Spurs’ recent form: -20.35% compared to what they need

The Spurs, who made some trade-deadline news, have just one victory in their last 19 games. This team has all the signs of a team that doesn’t really want to win. That they offloaded their center, Jakob Poetl, for future picks shows that this is a draft-centric franchise right now.

What kind of turnaround would San Antonio need to beat their win total? They have 24 games remaining in their schedule. They would need to go 7-17 in these games to beat their win total. In short, they would need to win about 30% of their games. Given that they’ve won about 5% of their games over the last 5-6 weeks, then bettors taking the OVER would be banking on a huge shift in form. That seems like a bet of blind faith.

San Antonio offloaded their center, they haven’t won a thing in ages, and they appear only focused on the future seasons as opposed to this one. Bet against the Spurs for the balance of the season by taking the UNDER for their win total at -110 with bet365.

San Antonio Spurs betting recommendation

• Spurs UNDER 20.5 wins this season at -110 (10/11) bet365
• Further reading: NBA Power Rankings