The Pick: Bucks UNDER 53.5 wins at -160 (bet365)
The Milwaukee Bucks lost on Saturday in a game in Cleveland. Giannis Antetokounmpo was out with a sore left knee and the Bucks were unable to remain competitive, even though Cleveland was without Donovan Mitchell.
As of January 22nd, 2023, the Milwaukee Bucks have a win total of 53.5 (bet365). They look very unconvincing to challenge for the OVER side of that win total. We took a look at Milwaukee about a week ago and felt that the UNDER was worth taking. That’s where we are staying with another look at Milwaukee.
Milwaukee Bucks win-total (bet365): 53.5 (simplified perspective)
- Current winning rate: 63.04%
- The winning rate needed for OVER 53.5: 65.85%
- Difference: -2.81%
- Simplified conclusion: the Bucks are behind their win-total projection
The Bucks are a little off of the pace that they need to maintain in order to post at least a record of 54-28 this season. However, the difference between their overall winning percentage and the one that they need to maintain is not huge. One thing that needs to be remembered with Milwaukee is that this team came out of the starting gates sprinting this season. If you emphasize recent results, then they certainly look like they are heading toward the UNDER side of their win total.
Milwaukee Bucks: Recent Form Alert
- Formerly: 9 – 0 on November 6th, 2022
- Currently: 29 – 17 (overall)
- Recent form: 20 – 17 since November 6th, 2022
- Recent winning rate: 54.05%
- Milwaukee Bucks’ recent form: -11.8% better than what they need
A sample space of 37 games is huge in the NBA. Milwaukee has posted just a 54.05% winning rate over that span of games.
They are a team that has problems to work on if they are to be considered elite. Even if the Bucks improved on their recent form, they would still have a tough time getting to 54 wins. They would need to win almost 70% of their remaining games — a tough winning rate even for a healthy and talented team to maintain in the NBA.
At present, Milwaukee could be presented as one of the better teams in the Eastern Conference. But they are not in stride with either Boston or Philadelphia. Our recommendation remains to bet against Milwaukee in futures betting. You can do that by opposing their win total of 53.5: take the UNDER at -160 (5/8) on this team.
Milwaukee Bucks betting recommendation
- Bucks to win UNDER 53.5 games at -160 (5/8)
- Our recent NBA Power Rankings