The Pick: UNDER 52.5 at odds of -135 (bet365)
The Memphis Grizzlies have taken a turn south in the NBA. They are still high in the Western Conference standings, however, Memphis has not won many games of late.
Yet, as of February 2nd, 2023, the Memphis Grizzlies still have a win total of 52.5 (bet365). The Steven Adams injury has hurt this team, he isn't expected to be back that soon, and the UNDER side of the win total is now the bet to make on Memphis. That runs contrary to a previous recommendation but anyone that took the OVER in mid-January should be considering a cash-out on this team now, even at a small loss.
Memphis Grizzlies win-total (bet365): 52.5 (simplified perspective)
- Current winning rate: 62.75%
- The winning rate needed for OVER 52.5: 64.63%
- Difference: -1.88%
- Simplified perspective: the Grizzlies are behind their win-total projection
The Grizzlies are currently a little off of the pace that they need to maintain in order to beat their win total. The difference need not be too concerning, however, Memphis' recent form has to be.
Memphis Grizzlies: Recent Form Alert
- Formerly: 31 - 13 on January 19th, 2023
- Currently: 32 - 19 (overall)
- Recent form: 1 - 6 since January 19th, 2023
- Recent winning rate: 14.29%
- Memphis Grizzlies' recent form: -50.34% compared to what they need
The Grizzlies have played 51 games of their 82-game schedule. They have 31 games remaining and would need to go 21-10 or better to beat their win total. That's a tough record for a decent team to post even when they are not dealing with any major injuries.
Memphis won't play 14.29% basketball forever, that's for sure. However, they would need to improve on their recent form quite a lot to beat their win total. It seems that Xavier Tillman and Brandon Clarke, the players that have seen increased minutes as a center since Adams' injury, are not up to the task. Bettors should take UNDER 52.5 wins now at odds of -135.
Memphis Grizzlies betting recommendation
- Memphis UNDER 52.5 wins at odds of -135 (20/27)
- Further reading: NBA Power Rankings
