The Pick: UNDER 51.5 at odds of -130 (bet365)
The Brooklyn Nets have struggled in recent weeks. The injury to Kevin Durant, who will be out for two more weeks (at least), has clearly hampered this team’s on-court results.
As of January 24th, 2023, the Brooklyn Nets have a win total of 51.5 (bet365). Bettors should be anticipating some spotty results over the next couple of weeks while Durant remains out. Accordingly, the Nets should be heading toward the UNDER side of their win total.
Brooklyn Nets win-total (bet365): 51.5 (simplified perspective)
- Current winning rate: 63.04%
- The winning rate needed for OVER 51.5: 63.41%
- Difference: -0.37%
The Nets are basically on par with their win-total projection: they are winning at about the rate they need to make the gamble a 50/50 proposition. However, it’s the Durant injury and the uncertainty it involves that should be tilting the gambling toward the UNDER side. You cannot really be too confident that Durant will be back soon: the re-evaluation date isn’t always the return date for sure. Brooklyn has not played well without Durant in the lineup, as per the chart below.
Brooklyn Nets: Recent Form Alert (Kevin Durant injury)
- Formerly: 27 – 13 on January 11th, 2023
- Currently: 29 – 17 (overall)
- Recent form: 2 – 4 since January 11th, 2023 (correlational to Durant’s injury)
- Recent winning rate: 33.33%
- Brooklyn Nets’ recent form: -30.08% compared to what they need
In order to clear a win total of 51.5, the Nets would need 23 more wins this season (or more). They would need to go at least 23-13. If Durant misses, let’s assume, the next eight games, then the Nets might only go 3-5 over that time. They have, after all, lost games to Phoenix, San Antonio, and OKC without Durant. The Nets are far from invincible without their best player.
You could reasonably be looking at the Nets getting Durant back with just 28 games left. Assuming the 3-5 record in the two weeks ahead, Brooklyn would need to go 20-8 to clear the OVER after that. They could do it but it certainly would not be easy for the Nets, keeping in mind that just because Durant returns doesn’t mean he doesn’t get reinjured.
Our recommendation is to take the UNDER on Brooklyn and their win total. That’s available at -130 (10/13) with bet365.
Brooklyn Nets betting recommendation
- UNDER 51.5 wins at -130 (10/13) with bet365
- Our recent NBA Power Rankings