Houston Rockets win-total betting: Feb. 18th/23

The Pick: UNDER 19.5 wins at odds of -160 (bet365)

The Houston Rockets, as of February 18th, 2023, have a win total of 19.5 (bet365). That is the lowest win total of any NBA team as of this date.

The Rockets were a team that was active at the trade deadline. They traded away veteran Eric Gordon and got back John Wall. The latter player is not with the team. Accordingly, the Rockets got a lot worse at the trade deadline and you have to think that they will hit the UNDER for their win total this season.

Houston Rockets win-total (bet365): 19.5 (simplified perspective)

• Current winning rate: 22.41%
• The winning rate needed for OVER 19.5: 24.39%
• Difference: -1.98%
• Simplified conclusion: the Rockets are behind their win-total projection

The Rockets have two starters that would greatly benefit from the All-Star Break. Kevin Porter is a key player for Houston, one that they can’t win much without. Houston should be updating his foot injury after the break.

Meanwhile, Jalen Green is day-to-day, another player that Houston can’t be without. The week off should do him some good, although he missed an event at All-Star Weekend due to his injury (groin). But overall, the Rockets probably don’t benefit from the All-Star break as much as some other teams.

Houston Rockets: Recent Form Alert

• Formerly: 10 – 23 on December 26th, 2023
• Currently: 13 – 45 (overall)
• Recent form: 3 – 22 since December 26th, 2023
• Recent winning rate: 12.0%
• Houston Rockets’ recent form: -12.39% compared to what they need overall

The bullet points above show the form that Houston has been in since December 26th, 2022. That’s about the time frame when they really started to struggle. They have just a .120 winning percentage since that date and that is well below the winning rate that they will need to hit the OVER this season for their win total.

Will the Rockets go on a run? Like all crummy teams in sports with drafts, there is an incentive to lose. You wouldn’t normally expect a team that’s at the bottom of the league to start winning after the playoffs are practically out of reach. Accordingly, our recommendation is to take the UNDER at odds of -160 (5/8).

Houston Rockets: Looking Ahead

• Games remaining (regular season): 24
• Minimum overall record needed for OVER to hit: 20 – 62
• Summary: Houston needs 7 wins in their remaining schedule to beat their win total

Houston Rockets betting recommendation

• UNDER 19.5 wins at odds of -160 (5/8) bet365
• Further reading: NBA Power Rankings