Indiana Pacers injury report at the All-Star break

The Indiana Pacers have a win total of 35.5 (2023-02-18). We consider the OVER/UNDER for this total.

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The Indiana Pacers had a win total of 36.5 when we last looked at the team about a week ago. Since then, they have dropped to 35.5 with bet365 at odds of -115 (20/23) for either the OVER or the UNDER side.

The Pacers headed into the All-Star break following a rare win these days. But they aren’t a team that will overly benefit from the break when it comes to injuries.

Indiana Pacers win-total (bet365): 35.5 (simplified perspective)

  • Current winning rate: 43.33%
  • The winning rate needed for OVER 35.5: 43.9%
  • Difference: -0.57%
  • Simplified conclusion: the Pacers are behind their win-total projection

The big injury to the Pacers this season happened when Tyrese Haliburton went out, their starting point guard. He has since recovered, although Indiana has not really returned to the decent form that it once had. As per the bullet points below, Indiana has a winning rate of just .158 in the team’s last 19 games (with or without Haliburton).

The team is not reporting much for injuries. Daniel Theis and Isaiah Jackson are both day-to-day. There are lots of other teams that will benefit more from the break.

Indiana Pacers: Recent Form Alert

  • Formerly: 23 – 18 on January 10th, 2023
  • Currently: 26 – 34 (overall)
  • Recent form: 3 – 16 since January 10th, 2023
  • Recent winning rate: 15.79%
  • Indiana Pacers’ recent form: -28.11% compared to what they need overall

The Pacers, who have a ROY candidate in Bennedict Mathurin, have 22 games remaining in their schedule. Their recent form is well below the winning rate that they need to hit in order to beat a win total of 35.5. You do have to wonder which direction this team will go because the play-in tournament is not out of reach if they can up their game. But they would need to go 10-12 in their last 22 games to beat their win total.

There are actually enough games against the weaker teams in the NBA that they might be able to play close to .500. Indiana has three games against Detroit, one against Charlotte, one against Houston, and one against the Spurs. They might go 4-2 in those games or even 5-1. Really, Indiana is a team that’s up in the air.

With this difficult team to read, bettors shouldn’t be doing anything too drastic. Stand pat on the Pacers for the time being.

Indiana Pacers: Looking Ahead

  • Games remaining (regular season): 22
  • Minimum overall record needed for OVER to hit: 36 – 46
  • Summary: Indiana needs 10 wins in their remaining schedule to beat their win total

Further reading: NBA Power Rankings